CAPT Jon C. Duffy Guest Lecture on How to Apply Military Planning to Climate Change
March 14, 2025
On March 13, 2025, the ARID Institute hosted Captain Jonathan C. Duffy (U.S. Navy, retired) to present on, "Planning for an Uncertain Environment: applying the Naval Planning Process to Climate Change." CAPT Duffy is an expert in strategic planning, wargames, and national security. For those working in resilience, climate change is one of the largest--if not the largest--threats to our communities, economies, ecosystems, and heatlh. We are facing unprecedented disruption to the foundation of our society. CAPT Duffy summarized the elements of the Naval Plannign Process and how strategic planning is approached in the private sector, and discussed how they can be applied to planning for climate change.
CAPT Duffy emphasized the need to identify and test the validity and consensus of assumptions as the first stage in planning, as that determines the strength of the final plan, and to consider the "most likely" and "worst case" scenarios when planning. He also suggested climate planners undertake a wargame exercise with climate change.
This event was co-sponsored by the Intermountain West Transformation Network and the UNM Water Resources Program.